{"id":6976,"date":"2025-12-06T15:38:44","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T12:38:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/?p=6976"},"modified":"2025-12-06T15:38:44","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T12:38:44","slug":"kak-nachalas-katastrofa-v-armenii-ot-romantiki-nezavisimosti-k-sistemnoj-ujazvimosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/2025\/12\/06\/kak-nachalas-katastrofa-v-armenii-ot-romantiki-nezavisimosti-k-sistemnoj-ujazvimosti\/","title":{"rendered":"How the Current Catastrophic Situation in Armenia Began: From Romanticized Independence to Systemic Vulnerability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dear readers,<\/p>\n<p>The Public Tribunal Project is launching a large-scale publication series - research that traces the sequence of events, decisions, and missteps that gradually and almost imperceptibly led to the tragic reality Armenia faces today.<\/p>\n<p>We are releasing these archives not to revisit the past for its own sake, but to answer a central question of our time: at what moment did history turn so sharply that the country was brought to the brink of catastrophe?<\/p>\n<p>Through the upcoming series, we will follow the path from the first political upheavals of the late 1980s to the strategic miscalculations of the 1990s: from closed-door negotiations and fatal concessions to the evolution of elites, armed conflicts, and the chain of decisions that set the stage for the dramatic years of 2016, 2020, and 2023.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udcd8ABOUT THE REASERCH<\/p>\n<p>This is not merely a political chronicle, but a dismantling of the mechanisms behind the erosion of Armenian statehood: from street clashes in Sovetashen to the political intrigue surrounding the \u201cGoble Plan,\u201d from the overthrow of Levon Ter-Petrosyan to the emergence of a new elite and its systemic errors.<\/p>\n<p>We will revisit:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>How the radicalization of the Armenian Pan-National Movement in 1988\u20131991 created a model of political behavior driven by crowd power and street pressure.<\/li>\n<li>How the first victims and provocations became tools of political manipulation.<\/li>\n<li>How the \u201cGoble Plan\u201d became a geopolitical trap that divided the elite.<\/li>\n<li>How the logic of concessions formed and why it ultimately led to Ter-Petrosyan\u2019s resignation.<\/li>\n<li>How Serzh Sargsyan embarked on a political course that reshaped the country.<\/li>\n<li>How Moscow, Washington, Stepanakert, and local clans intertwined their interests during the 1997\u20131998 crisis.<\/li>\n<li>How the decisions of that period predestined the catastrophes of 2016, 2020, and 2023.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>WHAT WAS PRESENTED TO READERS FOR THE FIRST TIME<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A reconstruction of the events in Sovetashen on March 23, 1998, based on archival materials and eyewitness accounts;<\/li>\n<li>An analysis of insider correspondence from 1997\u20131998, as well as interviews with former participants in the negotiations;<\/li>\n<li>Rare citations and references from periodicals of the period;<\/li>\n<li>An examination of the evolution of the Karabakh elite and its influence on state decision-making.<\/li>\n<li>Journalistic investigations into the connections between security structures and political groups.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>WHY THIS RESEARCH IS NECESSARY<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Because Armenia has suffered not a single catastrophe, but a chain of disasters, each stemming from the previous one.<\/li>\n<li>To understand who and when made the decisions that brought the country to its current situation. We will return to the moments when these delayed-action mines were laid.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>We will write not merely about the past, but about the reasons why the challenges we face today became, in many ways, inevitable.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Public Tribunal Project is launching a large-scale publication series - research that traces the sequence of events, decisions, and missteps that gradually and almost imperceptibly led to the tragic reality Armenia faces today.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6977,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[160,157],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6976","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-anons","category-news"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6976","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6976"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6976\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6978,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6976\/revisions\/6978"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6977"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6976"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6976"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/armtribunal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6976"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}